When at one of the best observatories worldwide, over two weeks and
more, the sky is often cloudy, the seeing poor, the wind fairly strong
and blowing from unusual directions, one is allowed to start talking of
an astroclimatological anomaly.
When this occurs during the science verification of a telescope using
the largest monolithic mirror ever built, the event receives a
particular attention which justifies attempting a more detailed
analysis.
Cloudiness at Paranal is the cunjunction of seasonal trends and El Nino
events on top of some longer yet unexplained cycle (The Messenger 90,
6). As we are currently in the lows of the latter cycle and despite the
end of the 97-98 El Nino event, August 1998 was promising less than 70%
photometric nights: the two nights lost for cloudiness during the two
weeks of science verification were thus perfectly expectable.
The wind at Paranal is stronger in Winter (30% of the time more than
10m/s) than in Spring or Summer (15% only): one and a half nights lost
because of wind in two weeks of observing is thus not anomalous.
As clouds have no reason to prefer windy nights, the two previous
effects tend to cumulate and the total time lost was close to 25% of the
total available observing time, nothing to be ashamed about!
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